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Archives for : Analize

Gas supplies to certain consumers will be interrupted! Complicity or incompetence?

An unbelievable threat came several days ago from the committee of investigation into the gas market, in which the representative of the largest gas supplier in Romania showed that the only solution next winter was to stop gas supplies to certain consumers. Surprisingly, there was no reaction to this statement. Nobody showed that such a practice would be illegal. Why? Maybe because the truth is always in the middle: 50% complicity / 50% incompetence.

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One or two gas exchanges? This is not the question

A scandal on the gas market regarding the legislative initiative that seeks to impose a single gas exchange on the gas market. The idea is not bad in essence, even if the issue of serious failures on this market is not due to exchanges and it should have been started with the mechanisms of market functioning and not with the (trading) instruments. In absence of mechanisms of market functioning, with one or two exchanges, we will continue to have slippages on the gas market.

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Crisis, price and gas

The years of media “silence” on natural gas have been replaced with media “unrest” in the recent weeks. Analyzes were replaced by investigations. Expertise was replaced by gossips. The gas issue has become a daily subject, reason of quarrel between nationalists, journalists etc., who issue points of view on energy independence, gas crisis, failure to store gas, how many gas exchanges exist in Romania, the increase in gas prices etc. I propose an analysis of the circulated elements, to be able to identify the fake news, the persuasion and the real beneficiaries of this artificially created situation, as the consumers will definitely lose from it.

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Why GEO 64 does not apply, even if it has been in force for over 6 months?

Government Emergency Ordinance 64/2016, amending and supplementing Law 123/2012, came into force on 1 April 2017, determining the transformation of principles of transparency, competition, non-discrimination on the gas market into concepts, which can be applied, measured and verified, based on procedures, instructions and specific methodologies.

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Romania – a Gas HUB. It is a project for Romanians?

A national project insistently resumed lately is the development of a Gas HUB in Romania. Analyzing the possibility of materialization of this project, we consider that the opportunity was lost a few years ago, and the prospects for implementing a HUB in Romania are reduced. Then, who would benefit from such a project? Corroborating this project with other internal and external trends, we can say that it is a project that could be used to impose a monopoly in the South-East region.

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Hungary’s “perfect” game on the gas market

The construction of single line national transmission systems is no longer an option to develop national transmission systems of a highly dynamic XXI century, with continuous positioning and repositioning of political, strategic or economic nature. The construction of stellar systems with multiple entry and exit points in different directions is the solution of these times, as it creates the possibility of a rapid response to volatility markets.
Analyzing the philosophy behind transmission systems over the last 20 years, we see that stellar systems with multiple interconnections, as well as flexibility to the rapid and massive changes of any gas transmission flows, were the preferred ones. Along with Germany, Austria or Slovakia, Hungary has also resorted to this technique.
Hungary has chosen to play its national interest very well, even risking some sanctions for its withdrawal from some international agreements. It chose to get out of Nabucco project first, when it realized that this move was winning; it also chose to allow Nabucco to alienate all the know-how of the project, and chose to get out of BRUA project when it realized it had the chance to gain more from leaving this project than staying in it.
We will follow two maps containing projects for the development of the gas transmission system in Hungary, according to MEKH-ANRE HU, before and after the announcement of Hungary’s withdrawal from BRUA (1 August 2017).

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Gas market manipulation

The natural gas market liberalized since 2001 has repeatedly gone through manipulative interventions from market players, representatives of some institutions, and last but not least from the authorities. These market manipulations have always yielded important commercial advantages to some companies in the market and never benefited end-consumers.

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Romania’s insularization

Romania’s accession to the EU 10 years ago brought with it innumerable opportunities in the energy sphere, tradition and resources allowing it to claim an important role in the Eastern European region. Romania’s subsequent actions not only buried almost any hope of an important role in the natural gas sector in the region, but it also led to the insularization of Romania in the European gas market.

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Please translate in en_us: Necesitatea unei viziuni reale asupra viitorului sectorului gazier și nu obișnuita declarație de intenție și a viziunii din sertar

1At the eleventh hour, it is necessary to build a vision, a clear image on the future we seek to create in the gas business. It cannot be done without a return to basic notions, without return to realities that we don’t know or don’t want to hear about, without understanding the small things that can truly make this sector work.

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The Country Project: Starting over in the Gas Market in 10 steps

punctRomania has sunk continuously during the last 25 years, reaching the point where it reached and even surpassed many critical limits. The gas sector does not distinguish, generally facing the same problems faced by the entire society.

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